Italian Grand Prix Betting: Odds cut on Ferrari home win at Monza


Fernando Alonso remains in contention for this year's world championship crown. But the Ferrari favourite needs to start logging wins and taking some serious points off Sebastian Vettel.

There is no better place he could do that than the cathedral of speed that is the Autodromo Nazionale Monza on the outskirts of Italy. The Ferrari faithful will pack the stands in anticipation of a victory for the prancing horse.

Alonso's chances of doing so appear to have improved according to the latest odds, which place him as second favourite behind Vettel on 4.00. That's good news for the Ferraristi but those looking for rewarding odds on a likely winner may prefer to look elsewhere.

As usual the odds on Vettel are best left alone. He took his fifth win of the season in Belgium and it would have been his sixth had his car not broken down while he was leading at Silverstone. The odds on him winning again this weekend are just 1.40.


Rosberg and Raikkonen


Two drivers who have won races already this year but haven't had much luck of late stand out for this weekend: Nico Rosberg and Kimi Raikkonen.

Rosberg, wielding one of the Mercedes W04s which has taken pole position at eight of the eleven races so far, is a good tip for qualifying. And at odds of 6.00 to take pole position again, he represents reasonable value as well.

As always in Formula One, if you're backing a driver to set pole position you might as well check out his victory odds as well, and here Rosberg is even more keenly priced at 9.00.

Kimi Raikkonen offers the same odds for race victory. Monza holds some promise for his Lotus team as it's a high-speed track which is tough on tyres - a particular strength of their chassis. His team mate Romain Grosjean demonstrated that by completing the last race at Spa with a single pit stop on a day when most other drivers made two.


Podium picks

Sergio Perez finished second last year for Sauber and his odds of finishing on the podium again this year are a whopping 40.00. That's surprisingly high given team mate Jenson Button is on 12.00.

It bears keeping in mind that neither driver has had a top three finish so far last year. But Monza, where the McLaren's relative lack of downforce will be less of a disadvantage, offers the pair a better chance of getting there.

Button could have been in contention for third place in the last race had McLaren stuck with their plan to pit just once - their his car is at least kind to its tyres. Perez also showed pace and was unlucky to have to start outside the top ten after narrowly missing a chance to set an extra lap in qualifying.

Two drivers who have more realistic chances of top-three finishers but still offer fairly good value for money are Grosjean and Massa. The Lotus driver has hit a purple patch of late, comparing favourably with Raikkonen in qualifying, finishing on the podium in Germany and pushing Vettel hard for victory in Hungary. He's priced at 7.00 to take his third podium of the year at Monza.

Massa has only been in the top three once this year but Ferrari seemed to be on an upswing at the last race and will certainly bring their 'A' game for their home race. Massa offers odds of 9.00 to get a top three result on Sunday.


Keith Collantine is the editor of Formula One blog F1 Fanatic

Bet on the Italian Grand Prix with Unibet.