There was no singles action in Toronto yesterday, as rain poured down on the Rogers Cup. The only play that took place was in the doubles, which was moved to the indoor courts. It’s not beyond the realm of imagination that the same might have to happen in the singles, as more rain is due over the coming days and Cincinnati starts in three days time.
Of the bets I recommended yesterday, Juan Monaco has come in for support and is now down to 2.28 from 2.45 to beat Mardy Fish. Meanwhile, I can’t quite understand is Janko Tipsarevic going out to 2.10 against Marin Cilic. That looks excellent value to me unless there’s some sort of injury concern regarding the Serbian.
We’re all set for a long day’s tennis if the weather holds, with the last 16 and quarter-final matches on the schedule for today in the unlikely event that the weather holds.
Of the matches that I didn’t cover on Thursday, the clash between John Isner and Phillip Kohlschreiber looks a good bet to go over the 24.5 total games mark at a price of 1.87.
These paceless Toronto courts are hardly likely to get any quicker in the gloom of the moment, which will give a bit of an advantage to Kohlschreiber, with his long backswings and preference for clay courts. Of course, Isner likes time on the ball as well to tee off on his own big forehand.
Previous meetings between these two have both gone long. The German should have won their last match on the clay of Rome, but a fairly substantial choke by Kohlschreiber allowed Isner back in and he took it in three. Their only match on a hard court also went the distance and given that it took Isner 25 games to get past Pablo Andujar in the last round, the overs looks a decent bet in this one.
The lowest profile match of the last-16 sees Jeremy Chardy take on Marcel Granollers out on Court 4 at 6pm UK time. Chardy played well to defeat a less than motivated Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the previous round and has a 2-0 head-to-head over the Spaniard.
This match is all about how the Frenchman plays. The inconsistent and mentally fragile Chardy can play lights-out tennis at times, but it usually pays to back a more consistent type against him, as his success depends on the number of clean winners he can accrue.
That might work against someone like Tsonga, who plays a similar game, but I would favour a grinder like Granollers against a flashy hitter like Chardy on this surface. Chardy has only a 39% win ratio against top-50 ranked opponents and before this week he’d won two of his last 10 against those players.
You have to go back to the 2010 Shanghai Masters for his last win on outdoor hard over a top-50 opponent. Wins over the hapless Donald Young and an exhausted Tsonga haven’t fooled the layers, who make Granollers a 1.74 favourite. The Spaniard does tend to be underrated by the bookies for some reason and he should be able to take advantage of a kind draw and reach a Masters 1000 quarter final for the very first time.
Back over 24.5 games in Isner v Kohlschreiber at 1.87
Back Granollers to beat Chardy at 1.74